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    Some owners deserting factories in China

    Financially troubled plants are being abandoned by the boss, leaving behind unpaid workers and debts.

    Reporting from Shaoxing, China — First, Tao Shoulong burned his company's financial books. He then sold his private golf club memberships and disposed of his Mercedes S-600 sedan.

    And then he was gone.

    And just like that, China's biggest textile dye operation -- with four factories, a campus the size of 31 football fields, 4,000 workers and debts of at least $200 million -- was history.

    "We're pretty much dead now," said Mao Youming, one of 300 suppliers stiffed last month by Tao's company, Jianglong Group. Lighting a cigarette in a coffee shop here, the 38-year-old spoke calmly about the bleak future of his industrial gas business. Tao owed him $850,000, Mao said, about 60% of his annual revenue. "We cannot pay our workers' salaries. We are about to be bankrupt too."

    Government statistics show that 67,000 factories of various sizes were shuttered in China in the first half of the year, said Cao Jianhai, an industrial economics researcher at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences. By year's end, he said, more than 100,000 plants will have closed.

    As more factories in China shut down, stories of bosses running away have become familiar, multiplying the damage of China's worst manufacturing decline in at least a decade.

    Even before the global financial crisis, factory owners in China were straining under soaring labor and raw-material costs, an appreciating Chinese currency and tougher legal, tax and environmental requirements. When the credit crunch took hold -- prompting Western businesses to slash orders for Chinese goods and bankers to curtail loans to factories -- many operations were pushed over the edge.

    China's engine slows

    China's industrial decline is a main factor in the sharp economic slowdown of late. The nation's gross domestic product grew at an annual rate of 9% in the third quarter, the lowest in five years and worse than what analysts had forecast. China's GDP expanded 11.9% last year. Now, economists worry that the one big remaining engine of global growth is rapidly losing steam.

    Chinese leaders are trying to maintain stable and fast growth to control rising joblessness and the risk of political and social turmoil. Last month, Beijing increased tax rebates for many exported goods and pledged to take other steps to spur development, including prodding banks to boost lending to small companies. But many businesses and analysts are not optimistic.

    "Honestly, I think whatever measures government would take at the current stage would not turn around this trend," said Ye Hang, an economics professor at Zhejiang University. "The government can only try its best to put out a fire here and there."

    In recent weeks, there have been many fires, increasingly large-scale. In Zhejiang province, south of Shanghai, Ye counted at least six major bankruptcies, including Jianglong; Feiyue Group, China's biggest sewing machine maker; and Zhejiang Yixin Pharmaceutical Co., among the largest in that industry.

    "Of these six, one [owner] committed suicide, one was detained by police, and the remaining four all escaped," he said. "I can imagine that in the future, there would be more such cases as a result of the chain reaction."

    The wave of factory closings began in Guangdong province, where the nation's economic reforms were launched three decades ago.

    The region accounts for about 30% of China's exports, but over the last couple of years, Shenzhen, Dongguan and other cities in the area have sought to clean up the environment and create an economy based more on services and higher-value products. Makers of labor-intensive goods such as shoes, garments and furniture no longer felt welcome.

    By the official numbers, Chinese exports remained brisk through September, except for a few categories such as apparel, which fell 3% in September from the same month in 2007. But many exporters aren't making a profit, and others are seeing shrinking orders or are starving for cash. Newspapers in Hong Kong, which is close to Guangdong, have been running virtually daily reports of the latest factory to falter.

    "Don't even mention the U.S. market," grumbled Zhong Shijun, general manager of Foshan City Golden Furniture Co. "Even our EU market is dropping seriously in the last two months because the euro is depreciating."

    Toy makers are among the hardest hit. More than 3,600 such factories have closed -- about half the industry's total, government figures show. Most were small operations, but last month Smart Union Group's three huge factories stopped production, leaving more than 8,700 workers jobless.

    After workers protested in the streets, Guangdong's government said it would cover $4 million in back wages and help them find jobs. But many others have no one to help them. Migrant workers generally don't qualify for unemployment benefits, and although China's bankruptcy laws give unpaid workers priority, that's of little value if owners run away and there are few corporate assets.

    Left without wages

    Yang Shenggang, 33, had been at a Shenzhen shoe factory for seven years, working his way up from the assembly line, making $50 a month, to become a supervisor earning six times that amount. This spring, he said, the Hong Kong owner fell behind in paying wages.

    One morning in September, the plant abruptly closed.

    "The boss was just gone," Yang said. "I have to get my five months' salary back. My family needs money to eat and live."

    Stanley Lau, deputy chairman of the Federation of Hong Kong Industries, a trade group with 3,000 members, said he didn't know how many owners in Hong Kong had run away.

    "I think it's wrong," Lau said. But he added: If a factory operator went by the book, it could take two years to close a shop because of regulations and red tape.

    Others may flee not out of aversion to bureaucracy but because they want to get away with what cash they have left and not face angry suppliers, lenders, employees or regulators. Sometimes relatives and managers who help run operations flee too, and without anyone who can take responsibility, some factories have little choice but to shut down.

    Lau's trade group has estimated that as many as 15% of the 70,000 factories run by Hong Kong businesspeople in the mainland will close this year. He says many more are likely to shut after Chinese New Year in February, when millions of migrant laborers will return home for several days.

    "Once workers go home, they can close down the factory quietly," he said in an interview in Hong Kong.

    Taiwanese operate about 20,000 plants in Guangdong, and some of them also have walked away from their factories, workers and labor groups say. In northern China's Shandong province, dozens of South Korean export company managers have fled, according to state-run media reports.

    "If these laid-off migrant workers stay in the city, it might cause social problems in the urban areas," said Cao, the Chinese academy economist. "But if they go back to their hometown, they won't have enough to do to make money."

    Thousands of workers face that dilemma in Shaoxing, about 140 miles south of Shanghai. Companies with names such as Rich-tex and Sun-tex dot the city, the capital of China's textile industry.

    Industry giant falls

    Few were bigger than Jianglong, which is Chinese for "River dragon." The company posted sales of about $110 million and a profit of $14 million last year, according to its annual report. Its owner, Tao, boasted of the company's sophisticated research and development capabilities and a base of global customers that included Wal-Mart.

    Tao, a balding man with thick bags under his eyes, was a mystery to most workers and suppliers. He and his wife arrived in Shaoxing earlier in the decade, opening a four-person trading firm catering to Middle Eastern buyers, said people from Tao's hometown in neighboring Jiangsu province.

    By 2004, he was exporting $2.5 million of goods, and two years later, after listing the company on Singapore's stock exchange under the name China Printing & Dyeing Holding Ltd., Tao bought two companies and built a massive factory outfitted with Japanese and Italian equipment. This year, as he began to miss or delay payments to suppliers, Tao told them he would soon be raising tens of millions of dollars by listing the company on the Nasdaq Stock Market.

    But Tao's plans were foiled by the global financial crisis and the sudden turn of fortunes for exporters, according to suppliers, many of whom fault the local government for supporting Tao and continuing to assure them and employees that the company's listing on Nasdaq was on track.

    Government officials said last week that Tao and his wife had been caught, but they refused to comment further. "It's very hard for me to analyze why or how it had this problem," said Jin Agen, vice director of Shaoxing's Publicity Department.

    On the day Jianglong was shut down, 2,000 workers jammed the streets outside the factory, blocking traffic and demanding answers. Several hundred police officers scuffled with workers. Later that day, government officials agreed to pay employees.

    "I'll go home and farm," said Yang Chaoxian, 43, who had earned about $260 a month working 12 hours a day, seven days a week. "Labor here is too hard," said the Chongqing native, a cigarette tucked behind his ear. "After I leave, I don't ever want to come back."

    Cao Jun of The Times' Shanghai Bureau contributed to this report.

    By Don Lee


    #2
    By year's end, he said, more than 100,000 plants will have closed. -From above posted article.

    Something to think about...

    Comment


      #3
      What's sad is though we might not lose tens of thousands here, factories are closing up here too. My dad still hasn't been paid from the job he had before his current one. I'm not sure how much they owed him. They filed bankruptcy though he said. He doesn't figure he'll see what he was owed from them, he only worked their a month and he knew something was up after the first week.
      May 31st, 2007: Petition Filed by my lawyer
      July 2nd, 2007: 341 Meeting Held
      September 4th, 2007: Discharged and Closed.

      Comment


        #4
        The Crumbling of China’s Export Market by David DuByne

        The Olympics have come and gone, and the promises by Ministry of Finance government spokesmen that the Chinese economy was set to grow healthily and steadily after the summer Olympic Games and that a post-Olympic economic downturn was highly unlikely need to rethink their official statements. Even today after the $500 billion dollar rescue package from the Chinese government the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) reiterated “China's economy is in good shape despite the changing economic environment, and it will maintain stable with relatively fast growth. We should be confident about the country's economic outlook."

        Rosy scenarios now fly around the daily news that even in the worst of global economic times China will be minimally affected. The fundamentals of China's economy are sound, the central government is in total control and if a problem occurs, the solution is already unfolding. The National Development and Reform Commission will continue efforts to expand domestic consumption amid the global economic uncertainty and People's Bank of China says “there is still room to tap more domestic consumption.” The Ministry of Finance reiterated “A high savings ratio can stimulate demand when economic recession occurs. China's economy is therefore cushioned against the worst of the disaster.”

        With all of this positive news; who should be worried? My answer: Anyone that understands the ripple effect, that’s who! The leaders say one thing to pacify the people while on the streets another world exists. I want to delve into the beginnings of a disintegrating China.

        I sat in disbelief reading today’s Shenzhen local paper stating that Some 9,000 of the 45,000 factories in the cities of Guangzhou, Dongguan and Shenzhen are expected to close down in the next three months according to the Dongguan City Association of Enterprises with Foreign Investment estimates. Those closures would see up to 2.7 million jobs cut as overseas demand for consumer goods and clothes fades, that’s more than 50,000+ a day if you believe official figures, which I do not, and I believe number is actually higher. The association says that, by end of January, demand will shrink by 30 per cent, and these are just mainland factories. The Federation of Hong Kong Industries said that about 25 per cent of the 70,000 Hong Kong-owned companies in southern China "could go to the wall by the end of January". Yet on the very next page I read an article quoting the Ministry of Commerce as stating “Although it is likely to cause a decline in China's external demand, our stock market and financial system will not be fundamentally affected.”

        I can understand the flip-flopping stories as a means to keep a population from panicking, after all the Shanghai A-shares have declined more than 60% from their bubbly peak at the beginning of the year. The Hang Sang in Hong Kong and the Shenzhen indices are not doing much better. Real Estate prices have slipped 20% in the last six months, all of the recent factory closings with many more to come and this is just the beginning of a prolonged feedback loop.

        The central governments plan to reverse a foreign trade decline is to increase domestic consumption, restructure industry and boost innovation to change its economic development mode, that’s fine but first you need to have an expanding domestic economy in order to do that.

        Priority Number One: Number one on the priority list is domestic unrest caused by factory closures and owners declaring bankrupsy, thereby avoiding the troublesome task of paying the employees. In the last three weeks Dongguan Weixu Shoe Company collapsed and laid off 2,000, Chong Yik Toy Company shut leaving 1,000 payless and the largest; Smart Union locked its gates on 7,600 workers. Protesters descended on government buildings in Dongguan where hundreds of police were called out to quell violence. So far local public funds have been used to cover the back pay owed to workers, $ 7.6 million dollars so far. This was to cover three factory closures, imagine the bill when factories close across China in the tens of thousands. By the time you read the article “Govt foots collapsed shoe firm's wage bill”, from Xinhua News Agency a thousand more factories will have closed along the east coast.

        "Big deal", you say. "The workers are paid and will return to the countryside where they can grow vegetables." That is true, but the few thousand RMB in their pockets will run out after a few months and with very few other opportunities to secure an income, China’s stability is in question. These workers originally came to the city to support the family by sending back money every month, now they are returning to the countryside by the tens of millions across China. My question is, "When the money runs out what will they do?" I’m sure crime and violence will skyrocket; to what degree I can only guess; but most importantly to what degree can security be guaranteed by the central authorities outside the cities?

        If there is a repeat of anything like the Cultural Revolution where 40 million starved to death and family members turned on each other, it will become a society restructuring event. China is quite different compared with the 1960s as the current pollution problems have made 98% of water sources above ground unusable and the amount of arable land has shrunken dramatically as factories and cities now cover what was once farmland.

        These bankruptcies and massive layoffs are not just single events in isolated locations; it is beginning to happen countrywide. The lag time between the events of the western banking system and the fallout here is approximately two months. With that said more trouble is on the way. If there is no contingency plan by the communist party for the global downturn within their own society and if they are reacting to each event rather than planning for such events; than the China we have seen over the last ten years will be an entirely different place in another two.

        Second Tier: The second order of business will be restructuring to a non-export driven economy for the next three years until the world works itself out of this financial mess. The only one to speak out so far against the grain of positive news is Fu Ziying, Vice Minister of Commerce, who with some common sense said “It would be more difficult to maintain stable export growth next year because of the global financial turmoil.” As I stated before most of the fixes for the slowdown seem to revolve around expanding domestic demand, which is the catch 22; demand for exports slows, so if citizens have no job and less money selling them goods and getting them to spend won’t work. These pipe dreams of China's economic flexibility and macro-control guaranteeing economic stability is exactly that, a dream.

        I think a message is beginning to get through with this unfathomable event requiring Government Agency spending be frozen in 2009, halting the average annual 5 percent increase of the past five years. The Ministry of Finance said on Tuesday. "The budgets for next year should be capped at the same amount as this year's and every project would be looked at"

        Agency spending includes staff salaries, lavish gatherings and official state business. Expense budgets of all 107 central government agencies will be analyzed and related departments asked to tighten their budgets.

        Wang Chaocai, vice-president of the ministry's research institute for fiscal science, said “The spending freeze will be achieved by reducing the number of meetings and conferences, reception activities and business trips, and by cutting transport costs.” This truly astonishing in the land of showing off wealth and status, that’s like asking the Emperor to reduce the party and banquet budget during the Tang Dynasty, unthinkable unless there is a crisis.

        The way I understand it, each department is compartmentalized and deals with that departments business only, the idea of ripple effect is not widely understood in China even at the highest ministry levels. Exports directly effect factory production and workers loose their jobs, that is widely understood. Trying to explain that the copper mine in Jiangxi will need less workers and that leads to lower need for rail transport, which leads to a reduction of rail cars and that industry, plus the maintenance crews and repair parts involved to keep it all running, this is a bit more difficult task. How about the food vendors at the factory gate, the nearby stores and delivery drivers who drive fewer miles and buy fewer tires. There is less vehicle maintenance which requires far fewer mechanics and spare parts to keep the transportation network by road moving, which is also its own separate industry. This example filters right through ports, construction, real estate, logistics etc… and it’s all based on producing or transporting something for manufacturing, export and indirectly imports.

        Power generation is one of the biggest industries in China, and according to the China Electricity Council “power demand in August fell 5.8% from the slowdown in export-oriented consumption along coastal areas.” This directly connects to China’s largest steelmaker, Baoshan Iron and Steel and the nation’s biggest aluminum producer Aluminum Corp of China cut prices for December by as much as 20% in a bid to attract more orders amid a slowing economy, and are considering further cuts because of falling metal prices and weak domestic demand.

        Premier Wen Jiabao said on Saturday that fiscal revenue in the fourth quarter of this year will continue to drop after falling from more than 33 percent in the first half to 10.5 percent in the third quarter. The World Bank followed with a downward revision for China’s GDP growth next year at 7.8% or lower on reduced spending in consumer markets.

        As many areas of the world enter a recession 7.8% sounds great, but in China the working age population is still growing, China needs at least 8% growth to maintain the current employment rate. Where will the three million new college graduates find work this year, after all they are fighting with the surplus of five million diploma holders that still have not found work over the last two years.

        Third Time is a Charm: The third obstacle will be restoring confidence in the average citizen’s mind. As the cycle of distrust between employee, supplier and factories intensifies, factories may close because workers leave for fear of not being paid; suppliers will not deliver unless paid cash on the spot at delivery, no more credit. This cycle will lead to an exodus of workers from coastal provinces; I firmly believe that Shenzhen a city of between 10-14 million depending on statistics will shrink to around six million by the late part of 2009.

        In a reactive approach as situations occur around the mainland, there have been several new laws introduced, The Communist Party of China (CPC) issued a landmark policy document on October 20 allowing farmers to "lease their contracted farmland or transfer their land use right to boost the scale of operation for farm production and provide funds for them to start new businesses.” This is the first firm confirmation that tens of millions are going back to the countryside.

        The Ministry of Finance shortly there after on October 28 announced that the property contract tax had been lowered to 1 per cent from 3 per cent, on purchases of properties that are smaller than 90 square meters. Also, the down payment requirements will be lowered to 20 percent, from 30 percent. Real estate was where a lot of “new” money came from in the last ten years. Spending was up because property values were up, just as in the US from 2000-2007.

        Starting from November 1, the Ministry of Finance said in a statement “The government will raise export tax rebates for 3,486 products including textiles, clothing, furniture and toys. The tax rebate was raised from 11 to 14 per cent to help exporters cope with lower demand” which is a stealthy way to boost container loading since cargo volumes are down 20-50% depending on the port.

        These measures are like a doctor treating the symptoms of a patient, not treating the cause of the disease. The trend of shrinking foreign demand is unlikely to reverse, and the new policies are to create domestic consumption and encourage spending. Disposable income from the real estate and manufacturing sectors has dried up in the country. You cannot spend something that you do not have.

        Trade Fairs and the Future: Trade fairs throughout China set the tone for the following year’s production and export market, the largest in the country being Canton Fair in Guangzhou, concluded November 06. The number of buyers from Europe and the United States dropped by more than 30% from last year's levels. Trade volume at the annual event dropped by about 15%-17% from last year amid global recession worries.

        The Yiwu International Commodities Fair and China-ASEAN Expo reported similar results. These shows are a showcase of Chinese Commodities focusing on Machinery & Equipment; Electronics & Electrical Appliances; Building Materials & Household Ware; Agricultural Materials, Produce & Foodstuffs.

        The downward trend is obvious, and now manufacturers are trying to save themselves, with decreased orders, rising production and labor costs, manufacturers are cutting more corners wherever possible.

        As well as cutting staff, companies are trying to use energy and raw materials more efficiently, and seeking out alternative, lower-cost suppliers. From my own experience, Chinese firms already seek out the lowest cost supplier and purchase one-off lots to reduce costs; I really don’t see how they could achieve cost reduction using this method. One unique approach is promoting and selling products online, a virtual store with no office rent to cover and downsizing the office into your own apartment is another tactic.

        Just as overseas and domestic demand slacks off, I wonder when the multinationals will start trimming their China office staff as a way to save money in the head office abroad.

        Economic Fallout: The fall-out will be highly concentrated in provinces such as Guangdong, Zhejiang, Jiangsu, Shandong and Fujian all the way up the east coast stretching back the production and supply chain to the Special Economic Zones (SEZ’s) in the western provinces. Nothing will go untouched as this export driven economy is a tight spider web of endless links to supply the greatest economic growth in history, and now perhaps the greatest reversal.

        To an unprepared reactive country the crisis will come in many ways that are not directly financial but societal as well. The question is not whether the crisis will come to China, but rather how China is prepared to deal with it.

        As I read in a recent blog, “China has been a country littered with crises of large scale. They have dealt with crises before like the Cultural Revolution which ripped the fabric of society, several famines and the Japanese invasion in the last century.”

        That was then this is now. Around Guangdong Province impromptu protests by disgruntled workers left jobless and without pay are becoming more common; they have resorted to petitioning local government officials for back pay because they have few other ways to be compensated. They will complain more and they will protest at local government offices, you will see more demonstrations and picketing. In the last few years riots related to land grabs, bank failures, forced relocation and protests to close polluting factories were estimated at 70,000 last year, now add in this new “wave” of social movement and anything is possible.

        Chinese Crude Demand: Just when you thought there may be a let-up in Chinese oil demand because of the slowing global economy! Think again. This China Daily article, “Calls to pump up nation's oil stockpile,” states that the country should take advantage of the record drop in global crude oil prices to build up more reserves. “Compared with the highest prices in July, crude oil prices have dropped by 50 percent. We should take advantage of the low prices to build more oil reserves.”

        If you have been asking yourself throughout this article, why don’t they just spend part of their two trillion dollar foreign currency reserve to keep things going, keep in mind Chinese currency reserves are 80% US dollars and 20% Euros and the government can’t purchase items priced in different currencies at will. They would first have to sell dollars and then re-buy another currency, and that’s bad for China. If the dollar drops than the effect will be intensified as fewer US orders will come in. The most obvious choice is to buy something useful and already priced in US dollars; I think you know the answer.

        Restructuring the Future: The parallels between China’s precarious social and economic future based solely on exports and our own societies entirely dependent on fossil fuel as a driver for growth are striking. China now needs to focus on what’s beyond expanding its economy through exports and manufacturing, while all of us need to focus on what’s beyond growth in a crude oil based economy. Peak oil is occurring now, the economic repercussions are a symptom, China is affected, the world is affected, we are all affected. Now the emphasis needs to be more on what to do after the peak.

        We have come to the end of the line in terms of endless economic growth based on cheap, readily available crude oil, China has come to the end of their growth in this phase if industrialization for the same reason. The world has been the economic driver for China and China the economic driver for the world, both were based on cheap energy and disposable income derived from cheap energy, that time has passed. We need to find ways to be proactive for the future instead of reactive. My gut feeling is that within 3-6 months we will begin to see events on a level no one has anticipated. When it becomes impossible to find work in China during the “economic miracle” we will have truly entered the end of the age of oil.

        David DuByne

        Comment


          #5
          they weren't fooling around

            Little Tommy (who was Jewish) was doing very badly in math. His parents had tried everything: tutors, etc., they tried everything they could think of. Finally, in a last ditch effort, they took Tommy down and enrolled him in the local Catholic school. After the first day, little Tommy came home with a very serious look on his face. He didn't even kiss his mother hello. Instead, he went to his room and started studying.   Books and papers were spread out all over the room and little Tommy was hard at work. His mother was amazed. She called him down to dinner and to her shock, the minute he was done he marched back to his room without a word and in no time he was back hitting the books as hard as before.   This went on for some time, day after day while the mother tried to understand what made all the difference. Finally, little Tommy brought home his report card. He quietly laid it on the table and went up to his room and hit the books. With great trepidation, his Mom looked at it and to her surprise, little Tommy got an A in math.   She could no longer hold her curiosity. She went to his room and said: "Son, what was it? Was it the nuns?" Little Tommy looked at her and shook his head, no. "Well, then," she replied, "was it the books, the discipline, the structure, the uniforms? WHAT was it?"  Little Tommy looked at her and said, "Well, on the first day of school, when I saw that guy nailed to the plus sign, I knew they weren't fooling around.---------------------------------------------------------------------------------We offer wow power leveling and World of Warcraft Powerleveling, wow power leveling, Buy Cheap WoW Power Leveling, enjoy best service:cheap WoW Gold, WoW Gold, buy WoW Gold,
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          Comment


            #6
            LOL - finally a good story from a spammer.
            “When fascism comes to America, it’ll be wrapped in a flag and carrying a cross” — Sinclair Lewis

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